The next steps were to read over the analysis Vince had prepared for “Soothing.” We highlighted some key points which we thought were critical from the comments.
- “Soothing” resumed the last start over 1000m ranked 3rd Best on the day, 4.7 Lengths above IVR Benchmark.
- It had been wisely given 35 days to freshen up.
- Has a WTI (Wet Track Indicator of +4.3) – This was important as the conditions at Rosehill was graded as a Heavy 8.
THE DATA GRID:
With the Daily Sectionals Race Speed Profile comes a data grid under the main chart and comments. Now, if you have read our previous post on IVR (if not it can be found here by clicking HERE), then you should be familiar with the IVR® Incremental Velocity Rating. Focusing on the “BTP” (Best IVR this Preparation) column we noted down the +4.7 Lengths from Vince’s commentary, but more importantly the next horse down was only 3.4 Lengths. “Soothing” had a +1.3 length advantage over the next best runner. Furthermore, the next few horses were in the three length area, and “Soothing” was the only one in the 4 Length area.
We then validated the column called “MPS-T” which is is the combined MPS Speed of all the three sections from the speed charts. “Soothing” by far had the best rating at “51.78”MPS.
One more final check was that “Soothing” had a figure above the blue line in every section (Early, Middle, and Late) which to us displayed that this particular runner was above the average in each section. Because of this, we had further confidence in this runner.
With all this in place, “Soothing” was the prime runner in this race and from our perspective was worth an investment with a starting price of $3.30