Caulfield & Royal Randwick 20/10/2018

Caulfield RACE 4

Rail out 6m today, and statistically this advantages the on pacers 800m out. Although with 19 races over the last week and a few showers, it would be easy to state a case for the swoopers. So that’s what we will do. A great SFR advantage for Soothing in this race, and an ideal draw with all of the bolters coming from out wide. J Mac podiums his rides 45% of the time when he sites them all over this trip, and this horse runs fast times from slow starts. Grey Shadow the danger but if she gets caught on the fence and cramped for room, Yendall is not the pilot to save her with a 10% strike rate from the rear. If J Mac can swing wide, and the going is good, will be a great chase. That’s why they give you odds.

Soothing to win

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Royal Randwick RACE 8

Heavy 8s sort them out, and if last week tells us anything – you need to stick to the data. Race 8 shows Maximus, Crafty Cop and Passage of Time all presenting strong data and should take up an easy lead on a soft pace. When the rail is out 6m at Randwick it pays to be on pace 800m out. So best to stick to SFR and a few recent attempts on Heavy tracks, which stands out Maximus. Tommy Berry places his horses 40% of the time when in this situation, and if this horse hardens up from his first 2 runs – he should box on for a win.

Maximus to win.

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