Great edition of the Schillaci Stakes, with the small but even field the most open in recent memory. There are statistics that support almost every runner, and every runner will have a chance. It looks to be a race with one or two clear leaders in Dosh and Savatoxl, and a host of strong back markers that will all be prominent late in the race. You would expect that with the rail in the true position that the winners would come from the middle of the field or better, but with some outstanding barnstormers in the race, there is little confidence on that. Looking to a strong leader and a strong backmarker, focusing in on September Run and Savatoxl. Savatoxl has drawn well, has the early speed and has the top turn of foot in the race. If there is no pressure up front, he will go very deep into the race. September Run is surely needing a bigger and more open track than the Valley, and I don’t think we have seen the best of her yet this prep. Of all of the swoopers, I think she is the strongest. The earlier races will tell us a lot about the advantages, and it will be a tough day to find a winner. One last interesting statistic is that this year at this trip at Caulfield, favourites have a 45% strike rate. Don’t ignore the obvious. September Run from Savatoxl.
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