Very open race for the open dance down the straight on Derby Day. It might be a hunch, but it feels like these races generally have less pace early. With no jostling for position approaching a turn, horses can take their time to settle in, and rarely do runners get boxed in. The way this race looks to me, the mid fielders with strong acceleration will have an advantage. Really like the look of Octane and Order of Command at odds. They both seem to get into a midfield spot, and they both have very strong late acceleration. Banquo the other strong runner to sit on the pace and just wait for his time to burst out. The data suggests that Order of Command and Octane can give strong chase over the final 200m. Many chances in a high quality race, but backing the value the Order of Command to kick start a big day.

Good Luck


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Moonee Valley Race 6 Speed map, 24th October 2020


1 Coruscate Great win last start, but bit of a step up here. First time down the straight, and might be at risk of over doing it early. Still his form has to be respected, and should run well.
2 Tactical Advantage Solid performer over time, and has won down the straight before. On past performances this looks like a tough race for him to feature in
3 Order Of Command Really like the look of this guy down the straight, and don’t feel he was well placed in his last start. His last placing probably wasn’t as bad as it looked, and might be a race that suits his midfield acceleration. 3rd up should be fit, value runner of the race.
4 Kemalpasa Looks the leader, and has won down the straight before. Will just need the pace backed off mid race to grow his chances.  Wouldn’t be surprised to see him in the finish.
5 Blazejowski Interesting runner that should get out OK and be on pace. No great acceleration but can grind out a time. If he can lay it down early in the race, he has a chance to be in the finish.
6 Banquo Looks to fly the gate early, and probably has a lot of freedom out wide. Had a strong turn of foot, and if it’s a slow first section then he might just lead and kick away and be too hard to catch.
7 Rich Charm Love this guy and the way he flies home. Looks to be the same today, just looks like he will lose touch early and not get his chance.
8 Bold Star Been looking for his barnstorming finishes in his last few runs, but hasn’t been able to produce. Of course he has the ability, but will be running on with a few similar types in better form.
9 Octane Many high opinions on this guy and fair enough. Done it down the straight before, and looks to take a nice sit midfield in transit, and hit his straps late in the race. Looks hard to beat.
10 Neighbourhood Not the worst in the race and might make his move early. Never really suited Flemington though, and just might get a ruffled out of the gate.

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