What a great contest for this year’s Queen Elizabeth. Smaller but very strong field with high field quality in the data. Historically at this distance at Randwick favourites win 40% of the time. Very Ellegaant and Addeybb look to stand out when thinking this way. Looking at the Jockey Analysis Tool, J Mac is 56% place strike rate over distance races when settling mid field. The read is that he is superior to position a horse and navigate to a result. Verry Elleegant posts very strong numbers for this race, with almost every stat in her favour. There is a strong urge to forget stages in preps and any previous encounters, Verry Elleegant has a huge advantage over this field. Worth noting strong ratings for Mugatoo and Mo’unga, but all aboard Verry Elleegant.

Good Luck


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Click here to enlarge Royal Randwick Race 8 Speed Map 17th April 2021 Statfreaks.com.au


1 Addeybb The obvious leader with Think it over, and we have seen him do it here before. The numbers off his Australian runs suggest he might find the race a bit hard late. But if there is no pressure up front, his chances only grow.
2 Sir Dragonet Can’t knock his last win in any way, and data wise he looks to run the benchmark time of this race. Mid field sit and steady pace to the line. Boss the type to make it interesting here with a bold early start.
3 Mugatoo Huge run in the Doncaster, and a little surprised he is on the back up. Datawise this race looks very well suited as he can punch out an even time. Value.
4 Think It Over What a win at odds last start, but you feel this is stronger company here. Data suggests he will lead, and when the race gets serious it will get tough.
6 Dalasan Unbelievable run in the Doncaster, and thought he was the winner for a minute there. Hard to know how he will back up, and an even bigger jump in grade here. Would be a super effort.
7 Verry Elleegant What a champion, and heavily supported by the stats in this race. She looked like she had another run in her after last start, and rates very highly to win again. Data says she will shuffle back but hit her straps at the 200m, with a lightning turn of foot and superior fitness. Can’t wait to see her race.
8 Mo’unga Undeniable closing speed, but this is a big step up here. Hard to see the back up helping his chances here, but should be there abouts for the finish.

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