Need to get them on the board early, and a great opportunity with a compact field in a BM100 sprint race. You would think that the on-pacers have a slight advantage with the rail out 11m. Focusing in on the inside three gates for the early speed and main chances. Really like the look of Starry Legend in this race, who should have the speed to land where he likes. McNeil posts an impressive 39% win and 53% place strike rate when leading in sprint races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). The horse should jump well, sit one off the fence and open up at the turn. Very hard to beat. Dexelation makes the trip over after a disappointing finish last start after it opened up for him. He can bounce back here, should be on pace, and the stable would have made the trip for a reason. Can sit on the fence from the draw and put in an honest effort closer to the front this start. Ashford Street has been running very consistently, and can just grind out a solid time. If he manages to lead and make an early dance for home, he might be able to pinch it.

Top 4

  • Starry Legend
  • Dexelation
  • Zorro’s Dream
  • Ashford Street

Good Luck


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Caulfield Race 1 Speed Map 28th of May, 2022 Statfreaks


1 Dexelation Had big wraps on this guy last start but just got in the wrong spot at the turn. This should be a much better suited speed map for him today, and the inside draws gives him a chance to hold a few out. If he can hold his place on the fence at the front, he has the turn of toot to be hard to catch. But yes, needs to improve on his last run significantly.
2 William Thomas Expected a far better run from him at the Bool, and hard to know how he will go getting back onto a preferable going. Probably better fresh, and the wet tracks gave him little chance when he was getting back into it. No notable data support, but he does have quality. Would be surprised if he rounds them all up.
3 Starry Legend Looks the leader from the draw, and ideally sits outside of Ashford Street. From there he can control the race, and then have an unhampered trip to the line. Dominant stat here is McNeil posting a 39% win and 53% place strike rate when leading in sprint races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Stable rates very well, can’t see anything but him leading and hitting the line hard.
4 Zorro’s Dream Not an ideal draw, and probably have no choice but to shuffle back to the fence. Has made up ground well in past starts, but hasn’t been able to catch the leaders. If there is nothing on early, it only gets tougher for him. Although if the opportunity presents, he will be the strongest closer.
5 Ashford Street Racing very well this prep, and should have the early gate speed to sit in the front pair or box seat. No massive acceleration to note, just can grind out a solid pace from an early dash for home. Expect to see him in the finish.
6 Young Liam Bit tough down the straight last start, but that run didn’t rate too well. Lack of acceleration in this race, and would need to be up front to have a chance. Wide draw makes it tough. Would expect to see him run well, but would take a support effort to win on previous starts at a lesser grade.
7 Tycoon Humma Big jump in class here, and is likely to shuffle back on the fence from the draw. Top turn of foot in the race, but the race looks to be strong for her here from the beginning, so might be strung out too far.

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