Quality sprint race for the 3YOs, and all eyes will be on Motor Kah to hit the ton. Doesn’t seem to be a heap of pace in the race, and you would think that the winners would have to be closer to the speed. A few interesting statistics point towards the two likely leaders being strong chances here. Deep Speed is first up and looks very strong to push to the line from the front. Kah is a whopping 27% on the JAT to win when leading in these races. The other runner is Hilverston with Neindhorf who posts 44.8% place chance on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) when leading. A great go at the long odds for mine. If the runners are able to come from wide, looking to Dickin Medal to shake off a disappointing last start and finish the race well. Sticking with Deep Speed and Hilverston to run a drum.

Good Luck

Westy

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POSITION IN RUN MAP

Click here to enlarge Caulfield Race 2 Speed Map 10th of July, 2021 Statfreaks.com.au

RUNNER COMMENTRY

NO NAME COMMENT
1 Zipping Boy Drawn well for this race, and could land just off the speed. Hard to knock winning form, but first time at Caulfield. Might be a bit tough for him late.
2 All Of Brighton Had wraps on this guy last start for no shout. Has the late speed to trouble this race, but just hard to know if no pace around Caulfield is his bag. Will need many to stop in front of him.
3 Pioneer River Racing well until his last start. Seems to be a quality horse that will land midfield and grind out an even time.
4 Deep Speed Everyone watching Motor Kah today, and lets hope she can get it done in this race. 27% to win when leading at this trip on the JAT, and on board a fresh leader. Can’t see this guy being out of the finish.
5 Mr Moppett Tough draw if he wants to push forward. Dat suggests he can make up some ground, but from wide it might be too much to ask.
6 Dickin Medal Rated well last start for no return. Top turn of foot in this race, and seems to do OK over this trip. If they are coming from further back, value.
7 Sacred Palace Big step up in class, but have to respect the recent runs. Looks to fall out the back early and rattle home late. Just not sure the racing pattern will suit.
8 Brazen Bully Interesting KPIs for this runner to run a good steady time with some later acceleration. But of a jump in grade, but the draw helps land him in a good spot.
9 Hilverston Interesting that Neindhorf is 44.8% to place when leading over this trip. Could get a soft lead and hang in there late. Value at place odds.
10 Keep On Fighting Another runner stepping up in class. Seems to have an OK turn of foot, but will need it all to go right to be in the finish.

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