Huge day of racing across the country, and a day at Caulfield that appears to be affected by rain. OK field quality for the fillies over the 1400m, and a reasonable field size to try and find a winner. Looking at three on pace runners to be the main chances here in Morioka, Vianello and Game Legend. Morioka did a lot of work last start and will improve and benefit from the drop in class and distance. Should be on pace, get a decent transit and great turn of foot. Thornton has a 2% market edge on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT), suggesting he returns better than the market. The more the rain falls, the more she is suited and think she can run very well. Vianello the class of the race and the data suggests she will jump well and run a very good time regardless of tempo. Game Legend looks the leader and can control the ract up front. Dee has a14.8% strike rate to win when leading at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT), and the filly has a decent turn of foot to kick away if there is no pressure up front. The data suggests the winner will come from one of these three, but sticking with Morioka with the draw from Vianello and Game Legend. Good Luck.

Good Luck

Westy

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POSITION IN RUN MAP

Click here to enlarge a speed map for Caulfield Race 2 Speed Map Statfreaks 2021 16th of October 2021

RUNNER COMMENTRY

NO NAME COMMENT
1 Vianello This is her trip and Oliver rates best in this race. Draw a little awkward but has the tactical speed, and top turn of foot in the race. Just needs to be driven forward early and she will be in the finish and hard to beat.
2 Morioka Had big wraps on this filly last start, but given no chance from the draw. Big drop in class for this race, and expect a better run. Should be on pace, get a decent transit and great turn of foot. Thornton has a 2% market edge on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT), suggesting he returns better than the market. OK on the wet, big chance.
3 Stern Impulse Decent in the wet, and the data suggests she can make a run for home a long way out and sustain a good speed to the line. If there is any fight up front, then her chances grow.
4 Lady Adelaide Probably falls out the back early, and the times suggest she will struggle from there. Still, can’t knock winning form.
5 Game Legend Looks the leader, and from the draw should have no problems settling into stride. Dee has a 14.8% strike rate to win when leading at this trip on the JAT, and the filly has a decent turn of foot to kick away. Value.
6 No Crying Another back marker that can motor home from a long way out. A few gear changes that might strengthen her early stages of the race. Would need luck but might get into the minors late.
7 Pacific Ruby Top rated barrier for this race, but the lack of gate speed will cause problems. Looks to struggle from there.
8 Outa Taormina Hard to knock the jock, but no real data support at all for this girl.

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