Nice to have one of the main races earlier in the day, and a pretty thin field for this year’s Sandown Cup. Many lesser horses having a crack at the big time, but the data is pointing to the more seasoned professionals. No real speed in the race, with the better chances seemingly taking up formation from midfield. Really like the look of Accountability in this race from the fence. Waller rates well in this field and Prebble is 21.9% to win at this trip when mid field on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Should get an easy transit and be too strong when it matters. True Marvel is an obvious chance off his last start and no query on the distance. Just a bit of an awkward draw and he might get caught wide or have to go back.  Still, can’t see him out of the finish. The one anomaly in the data is for a lesser chance in Into Rio. If he can get through the course, he has the turn of foot and Mertens is 39.6% to place coming from the rear at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Worth noting that favourites win 44.4% of distance races at Caulfield, so sticking with the market. Accountability to be too strong, and Into Rio the knock out hope.

Good Luck


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1 Sweet Thomas No early speed, but if the race suits he does have the strongest turn of foot in the race. No question on the trip, will just need some pressure up front to increase his chances. Should be in the finish.
2 True Marvel Another runner you expect to see at the rear. Good win last start but bit of a jump in grade here. Expect to see him circling them late and making a big run and catching the leaders.
3 Dragon Storm No favours from the draw, and on past runs the data says he will find this tough.
4 Accountability Not sure about the trip, but very well weighted in this field. Prebble is 21.9% to win at this trip when mid field on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Top rated stable, strong acceleration late, all pointing towards a win.
5 Monmouth Looks the leader, and Teo can control the race as he likes. Might be able to go deep into the race, but the numbers suggest it will get a bit tough late as they turn for home.
6 Into Rio Outsider and a big jump in trip. But when looking into the numbers he has a top turn of foot, and Mertens is 39.6% to place coming from the rear at this trip on the JAT. Value at the odds.
7 Lady In The Sky Should get out OK and land in a good spot for the circuit. Looks to run an even time. But if there is no pace on and turns into a dash late, she won’t have acceleration to keep up this deep into her prep.
8 Lion’s Share Should get out OK and keep up with the field early. Racing pretty well lately. Big jump to this grade and will need to produce something big to feature.
9 Aberlady Will take up the running at the rear, and may be able to make some sort of run late. Might just need a bit of luck making it through on the fence at this grade.

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