Tough old winter race day, and they come from far and wide for a dry BM-78 distance race on the big stage. No real pace expected in the race, and many of these follow a run on pattern. On a day where they might come from everywhere, focusing in on four in particular. The numbers for Eaglemont look very strong here, and coming from the stable harbouring half of the field. Drawn well to get a smooth transit, and has the turn of foot to take it out. Strong numbers also for a longer priced runner in Running Cloud. If he can overcome the gate to get up front, he will be in with a shout. Some data support for Falls who should lead, and Impulsar is probably the strongest closer of the race that will need luck. A KPI to note is that riders for all four of these runners have between a 33% and 37% strike rate to place form their settling positions at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Sticking with Eaglemont with Running Cloud the value.

Top 4

  • Eaglemont
  • Running Cloud
  • Falls
  • Impulsar

Good Luck


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Caulfield race 4 Speed Map 9th of July, 2022 Statfreaks


1 Falls Looks the obvious leader, and the numbers say he can grind a pace for a decent stretch of this race. Should hang in there.
2 Strawberry Rock Not a lot of data support at all for the import. Might be there to settle the stable mates.
3 Eureka Street What a win last start at odds, but would be a massive effort here for the old boy. He will get back, and in a big field at Caulfield will need a lot of luck.
4 Maximus Prime Should land midfield and can run a good time. Should improve through the later stages of the race, and moving out in distance. Could run well.
5 Reuber Strong KPIs for this guy to be the best finisher in the race. Top turn of foot, well rated stable. Just needs to keep in touch throughout and not get caught wide to run a nice race at a price.
6 Eaglemont Top rated stable with mates in the race, and looks to position mid field from a good draw and. Decent turn of foot, and just needs some air at the turn and will be hard to hold out. Big chance.
7 King’s Charisma Another stablemate of the better chances rolling for luck at Saturday grade. Data predicts it will be a very tough race for him.
8 Nordic Pride Reliable performer, but well into his prep here. The draw might push him wide and its tough from there.
9 Keats Drawn well to kick up and have every chance in the run. Turn of foot looks a struggle, and the data says tough from the turn.
10 Dick Whittington Another runner and might want none of it early. Looks like he can make some ground late, but will be coming with many others.
11 Rolls Drawn well, well ranked rider and stable. The class jump might be a bit much for him late in the race.
12 Impulsar Looks to have no early speed, but can fly home. Will need luck late in the contest, but expect him to be finishing well.
13 Running Cloud Interesting numbers for this guy and can’t knock the winning form. Should be up front but will have to come from wide. If he can control it up front with Falls, he can run a time to hang in there for the podium.
14 Feuermond Falls out the back early, but has very strong closing numbers. Up in trip probably helps, but would need some sort of pace to be a chance.
15 Threeandfourpence Seems to just keep going and going this prep, and always seems to try late. Bit of an ask at this grade.

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