Distance race for the 3YOs provides a smaller field, and this year 37% of favourites have won distance races at Caulfield (41% strike rate last year). No real pace in the race, and expecting to see the better chances in the front half of the field. Can’t find any reasons why the Duke of Hastings can produce again this week after a soul crushing rails victory last start. Drawn well to rail a nice lead, and Coffey rates in the top 3 riders. The next two down the page look strong in Calmsir and Forest Diamond, who have drawn to sit behind Duke of Hastings, and will have their crack at him. The runner sticking out at odds is Turin, who with Meech on board is 42% to place when up front at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). The filly has a strong run of foot, and if ridden well is a big chance to chime in late. Sticking with Duke of Hastings.
- Duke of Hastings
- Forest Diamond
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