Seems to be a bit of a dart board day at HQ, and a quality distance race might be our only real chance to get value out of the data we have. Narrowing the focus on three runners here in Schabau, South Pacific and One More Try. All appear to get a mid field run off a soft pace, and the way the race looks, every horse will have their chance from the top of the straight. The Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) shows that Prebble has a 9.6% market edge in these races when coming from the rear. Schabau has the top turn of foot, and a pilot that lands results in races like these, so no reason not to stick with him. South Pacific has been up for a while now, and has the top Jockey in motor Kah on board. Just not sure if he has another gut busting Flemington straight in him, but surely he is in the finish. The other interesting runner is One More Try, who you would expect to see come flying home late at the weights. Sticking with Schabau from South Pacific and One More Try.
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