Looking to get the day off to a good start with a smallish field over a distance that posts a 41% win strike rate for favourites this year. Focusing in on three runners in French Moon, Oh So Far and Sign Seal Deliver. Sign Seal Deliver is likely to lead, and Declan Bates is 33% to win when leading at the trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Value at the odds to pinch it up front. The other runner looking very strong is French Moon. Coffey is a huge 52% to place when on pace over this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) and also has a 2% market edge. The horse should box seat, make an early dash for Sign Seal Deliver, and should be very hard to hold out. Oh So Far looks strong but might get caught too far back. Sticking with French Moon, with Sign Seal Deliver the value.

Good Luck

Westy

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POSITION IN RUN MAP

Click here to enlarge a speed map for Flemington Race 1 Speed Map Statfreaks Saturday 19th of March, 2022

RUNNER COMMENTRY

NO NAME COMMENT
1 Through Irish Eyes Hard to read into previous runs on such heavy tracks, but you would think he has a fitness advantage on most of the field here. The stable rates well for these races, and if he gets the luck he will be rattling home late. Will need some luck with the weight.
2 French Moon Great win last start at the Valley, and well rated for this race. Coffey a huge 52% to place when on pace over this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). He also has a 2% market edge. Top rated barrier, great turn of foot, rider in form, weight a slight concern, but still hard to beat.
3 Sign Seal Deliver Looks the leader, and Bates is 33% to win when leading at the trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Should have it all his way up front, could pinch it. Value.
4 Blandford Lad Always wary of long priced Gelagotis runners in distance races. Will take up the running from the rear, and the KPIs suggest he will finish the race well. If he can stay in touch early, he is some sort of chance to go deep into the race.
5 Steel Skies On the back up so have to respect the stable. Top turn of foot in the race and Lane rates well. But of a jump in class in a solid field, will need a lot of luck.
6 Uniquely Racing very well this prep, but a big step up in class and distance here.Runs some good times, but would need a super effort to feature in the later stages of the race.
7 Obedience Motor Kah rates top in this race, and this mar is very weel weighted over a trip where has been successful last start. Strong turn of foot, and looks to work into the race late. Will be flying home with a few others, should be there abouts.
8 Oh So Far Can pump out a good time and drawn well again for this race. Will be settling at the rear, and rates to fly home well. Will just need some sort of race pattern to suit the back markers and he should be in the finish.
9 Sheezabigdeel Deep into her prep, and the data suggests that she will be prominent in the early stages of the race, and then find it tough from there. Would need to improve a lot to feature here.
10 Alessandro Hasn’t shown much this preparation and this is a very tough race for her on recent performances.

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