Another big day of racing, and reasonable field quality for the 3rd event at Flemington. Bit of a mish mash of runners in this field with different form lines, and looking for an advantage with the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Two riders down in the weights in particular stand out in Jamie Kah and the apprentice Richards. Kah is 46.2% and Richards is 35% to place in this race profile on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Somerset Maugham looks to get a lovely run on a soft pace, and can grind out a superior time in this race. Secretly Awesome is the other runner that jumps up in class, but should be the one out leader. A big opportunity for both apprentice and stable to run a drum at a nice price. The other runner that looks strong in the ratings is Under My Spell that will be coming from the rear, but has the top turn of foot. Sticking with Somerset Maugham and Jamie Kah to be too strong.

Good Luck


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Click here to enlarge a speed map for Flemington Race 3 Speed Map Statfreaks Saturday 15th of January, 2022


1 Dark Dream Raced very well last week and was unlucky to run into a better performance. The data suggests he can box seat, and has a strong turn of foot to be a threat late. Not sure on the impact of a gut buster last week though, and would need a very soft pace in the race. Wouldn’t be surprised, but would need some luck.
2 Pancho Goes OK 2nd up, and goes OK at this trip at HQ. Has a reasonable turn of foot and Oliver rates highly in this race. Can’t see him out of the finish, but not sure his best will get him on the podium.
3 Mask Of Time Hasn’t shown a heap in first last two starts this prep. The data suggests that he can sit mid field and keep up until the later stages of the race where it might get a bit zippy.
4 Odeon Love the old bouy, and you would expect an honest effort from him. Just not sure if he will be able to sustain a good enough run for long enough in this race.
6 Northwest Passage Another swooper that is rated to finish the race well, just not sure about him keep up in the early stages at this grade.
7 Somerset Maugham Very well weighted, and very strong jockey trainer combo. Motor Kah is 46.2% to place when mid field at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Don’t ignore the obvious here, class stayer that can grind out a time, top rider, low weight, goes well at Flemington. Very good chance.
8 Under My Spell Won’t want a bar of it early, but she does fly home. First time at HQ, but the top turn of too in the race. If she can keep in touch early and settle in the run, she is a big chance to pinch it in the late stages.
9 Secretly Awesome Interesting numbers for Richards on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) in this race. He has a 35% strike rate to place when leading at his trip. This runner is well weighted also, and looks to have a soft lead up front. Big jump in grade here, but has been running well at an open track at Sandown. Value Runner of the race.

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