Wide open field for this year’s Vanity. No real pace predicted for the fillies, but probably hard to predict with various classes coming together. Sharpening the focus on four runners in Socialist, Bard Raider, Ancient Girl and Cardigan Queen. All four have a strong Stat Freaks Rating (SFR), and all are predicted to be mid-field or better. Jamie Kah aboard Socialist is an impressive 21% to win and 56% to place when mid field at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). This filly rates well to sit med field and make an early run for home, and can finish this race very well. Ancient Girl an interesting runner in that she might get an uncontested lead, and the data suggests she can grind out a time at a consistent pace. Bard Raider and Cardigan Queen the other runners that have noticeable KPIs, particularly in their barrier rating for this trip. Sticking with Socialist to be too strong here on her Gold Coast run, and Ancient Girl the value.

Good Luck


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Click here to enlarge a speed map for Flemington Race 5 Speed Map Statfreaks Saturday 19th of Feb, 2022


1 Cardigan Queen Top turn of foot in the race, and drawn well to take up the running mid field. Solid win last start, and nothing to suggest she won’t run well again. Just a minor query on the jump in grade with the minor rise in trip, but expect to see her on the podium.
2 Minouche Raced well and won when favourite last start, and a bit of a jump in company here. Should get out of the gate OK, but on times the data suggests that she will find the later stages of the race tough.
3 Rioyuki Doesn’t look suited to the track and trip, but data wise she has a strong turn of foot and will rattle home late. The risk being a softer pace, and losing a headstart when the race gets going.
4 Socialist Rates very well to come across from the wide draw and settle nicely mid field. Top rated stable in this race and Motor Kah is an impressive 21% to win and 56% to place when mid field at this trip on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Expect to see her get a nice transit and really make a go for it at the top of the straight and grind a decent tempo to the line. Big chance.
5 Barb Raider Consistent performer and should be right up there early. Won at Flemington before, and a middle gate rates well at this distance. You’d expect her to be strong first up, and expect to see her battling it out with the swoopers.
6 Throntari Not without any hope, and off past runs has a solid turn of foot. Data just suggests that she will be back with a few others on a soft pace, and will need some luck to navigate and get running room. Could run well.
7 Star Spirit Looks to fall out the back early and try to do the work late.  KPIs say she doesn’t have the turn of foot to turn it around on a slow speed, and would need luck to catch the leaders.
9 Ancient Girl Looks the obvious leader in the race, and can run a good time. McNeil in great form, and drawn the top rated gate. If she can travel well to the turn, she could take some beating. Value runner of the race.
10 Genuinely Not great ratings for this filly, although hard to knock a last start winner. Just a big jump in grade, and the later stages of the race look tough.
11 Tiara Jewel Not much data support for this filly either. First time at HQ, hope the stable enjoy the day.

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