Competitive looking race for the mares over the 1200m. Reasonable field quality and an honest pace predicted with a few looking for the early lead. When looking at the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT) there are two stand out riders that align with well rated runners. Really like the look of Sugartown with Motor Kah on board, who posts 26.6 % win and 49.4% place strike rate when leading in these races. Sugartown should go forward from the draw, slow the race, and then be too hard to beat. Belsielle looks great value to place with a great turn of foot and Prebble 37.8% to place on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). Malicorne looks an obvious danger, but just can’t see how she can do it first up from the draw. Sticking with Sugartown followed by Belsielle.

Good Luck


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Click here to enlarge a speed map for Moonee Valley Race 2 Speed Map 21st of August, 2021


1 Malicorne Goes well first up and won here before. Obvious chance but the draw is hard to beat.  Risk of getting caught wide or shuffling back on a controlled pace. Would be a decent win.
2 Pinyin Might find it a bit tough shuffling back from the inside gate, but can punch out a good time. Just not sure about the race opening up for her.
3 Don’ttelltheboss Been racing well this prep, and no reason she won’t run well today. Just not sure how she will go if she shuffles to the back on the tight turning track. Still, expect to see her rattling home.
4 La Vina Had big  wraps on this horse without a great deal of return recently. From the draw and how she gets back, not sure if this is the race for her.
5 Love Sensation Awkward draw is she loses the rail, but has the ability to get back into the race and finish well. Might need the run first up, but expect to see her closing the race out well.
6 Foxy Lady Doesn’t mind the Valley, but a bit of a harder field here. Decent enough turn of foot, just looks like she will be further back and might not get a chance.
7 Belsielle Drawn well and can get into a nice spot early with Sugartown. Reasonable turn of foot and Prebble is 37.8% to place at this trip from the middle of the field. Value
8 Sugartown Looks very strong in this race, and perfectly suited to a soft Valley track. Motor Kah posts a whoping 26.6 % win and 49.4% place strike rate when leading in these races. Drawn ideally, can control from the front, has the turn of foot to boot.  Will be flying.

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