Wide open distance race for the second event at Sandown, and no real speed predicted with many of these runners happy to sit and watch. Really like the look of Witchachar Star and Agnelli in this race, being the best of the leaders and the back markers. Witchachar Star is likely to settle further back, but can pump out a decent time at the weights. Expect to see him make an early run for the leaders and the data suggests he can catch them. Of the leaders, Agnelli looks very strong with Prebble 27% strike rate to win and 45% to place when leading in distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). He might get a very easy go up front, and with his turn of foot might be the only one to hold out Witchachar Star. The Nephew and Nordic Star looks the other strong performing stayers in this race. But going to stick with Witchachar Star to be too strong late and round them all.

Good Luck


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Sandown Park Hillside April 30th, 2022 Statfreaks Speed Map


1 Nordic Pride Looks the out and out stayer of the field, with no turn of foot whatsoever. Past runs this prep say he can go all day, and just needs some sort of pace in the race for his chances to grow. Value.
2 Eureka Street Should get out OK and land on pace. On past runs, it would be a super effort required.
3 Harmysian Another one that should get out OK and transit in a good spot up front. The data suggests that he finds it tough in the later stages of the race.
4 Rudimental Pretty decent turn of foot, and should be transiting mid field. Top rated rider in McDougall, but would need a very soft pace and a super effort late to be a chance.
5 Agnelli Looks the leader, and Prebble is a whopping 27% chance to win and 45% to place when leading in distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). In a field of lesser riders, this has to be a huge advantage for the horse. Decent turn of foot, and certainly will have the tank. they might not catch him.
6 Blandford Lad Well into his prep now, and might find the pace a little bit tougher at this grade. Still, have to respect his previous runs and the ability of the stable to keep him up. Hope he gets around OK.
7 The Nephew Top turn of foot in the race, but will be coming from further back. Looks to be comfortable at this trip, and there is no reason be won’t be able to catch the leaders. Surely in the finish.
8 Oh So Far Drawn OK, but looks to take up the running at the rear. She obviously has the ability over distance, and ran very well last start. Just a question if she is stretched in the early stages. Still, could find the podium.
9 Witchachar Star Pumps out a time, and going very well this prep. Won at this track and trip, and at the weights, should have every chance to grind out a strong pace. Huge chance.
10 Eaton not a lot of data support at all for this guy. Hope he gets around safely, and the owners have a good day.

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