Wide open field for the distance race at Caulfield, with a lot of winning form across the runners. No real speed predicted in the early stages, and focusing in on the likely leader in Swelter Magic. Off her impressive last start win, Matt Cartwright is 38% to place when leading distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). She has a very high Statfreaks Rating (SFR), and just think that she might put some pressure on many of the chances in this race at the turn for home. Another interesting runner is Dirty Deeds who looks to have a decent run into the race when it gets serious, and Meech is the top rated rider for this race. Winner could come from anywhere, but Swelter Magic should at least lead and be in the race. Sticking with her to stay out of trouble and be too hard to catch.

Good Luck


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1 Look Closely Very consistent runner, and was a big win last at odds. Data says he will position mid field and roll along and keep an even pace throughout the race. The draw may not help and force him forward, but can’t see him running a bad race.
2 Dirty Deeds Top rated jockey and the horse seems to race well at Caulfield. The data suggests that he might take up the running midfield and have a burst of speed at the turn. Expect him to run well.
3 Brilliant Venture Hard to knock winning form, but maybe not as well suited from the draw and could shuffle back and get pinned. Data suggests he might struggle to run on.
4 Kings Full Should sit off the speed, and looks to run a very even pace throughout the race. Hasn’t seemed to fire at Caulfield yet, and with a soft cruising pace his chances grow. Numbers say he will run well.
5 Midas Prince Rated well last start and probably a little unlucky in the end. Looks to settle midfield, and has a reasonable turn of foot to have a chance in the later stages. Couldn’t rule him out.
6 Swelter Magic A very strong SFR for this mare, and she looks the obvious leader in the race. Matt Cartwright is 38% to place when leading distance races on the Jockey Analysis Tool (JAT). No notable turn of foot in this race, and she might be able to set a steady tempo and test the field deep into the race. Big chance.
7 Salto Angel Not a lot of data support for this mare, and she couldn’t beat a few of these runners home last start, albeit running well. The data suggests that she will fall to the rear early, and won’t have the acceleration to get into the race late.
8 Lost Impact Ran into Swelter Magic last start and couldn’t overcome the leader advantage, but should have a lot more chance here. Very strong turn of foot, and just needs some sort of pressure up front to have a chance to go one better.
9 Miss Five Hundred No early speed at all, but does have the top turn of foot in the race. Does go well at this trip and well weighted. Just needs to keep in touch in the run to be in the finish.

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